Philip Moeller
罢丑别听听will likely emerge as one of the dominant economic and human interest stories of the next 10 to 20 years. Many employers acknowledge the accumulated skills and wisdom听听often possess. But employers also wrestle with a host of higher costs that many older employees incur 鈥� from higher pay levels to more expensive charges for health and disability insurance and other benefits.
In demographic terms, about 10,000 baby boomers in the United States will turn 65 every day until about the year 2030, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Some years, this daily average will exceed 13,000. We see these and similar numbers all the time, and then we go about our daily lives while the impact of this听听continues to accumulate and pose a growing set of challenges.
In retirement terms, the Great Recession shattered any notion that retirement would be a positive experience for millions of older Americans. The reality of inadequate retirement savings was masked by soaring values of real estate and other assets.
The 2013 Retirement Confidence Survey sponsored by the Employee Benefit Research Institute found only 24 percent of workers at least 55 years old have set aside more than $250,000 for retirement (excluding the value of their primary residence and any traditional pensions). More startling, 36 percent of this group have saved less than $10,000. (The survey included 1,254 individuals, of which 251 were retirees.)
Looking at this reality, economist Alicia Munnell, head of the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College, says Americans鈥� stark retirement futures give them only three realistic options: 1) Be poor. 2) Save more money, and be a little less poor. 3)听. Increasingly, more older Americans are choosing the financial equivalent of door number three.
Even with more baby boomers extending their careers, large numbers of boomers will still retire, and finding enough new workers will be a growing challenge for many employers. The numbers of new entrants into the workforce is likely to fall short of the total of boomers headed for the exits. Immigrants could help ease this projected shortage, but it鈥檚 not clear if even a successful reform of the country鈥檚 immigration laws would lead to large increases in new immigrants.
Thus, employers will need to confront a number of challenges to accommodate more older employees. Among them are intergenerational relationships, age discrimination, physical job demands, training and flexible work schedules. Employers who successfully attract, retain, train and听听may enjoy a competitive edge, but it will be a big adjustment from the youth-centric culture of many workplaces.
Every year, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics takes an in-depth look at the age composition of the nation鈥檚 workforce. The agency is not allowed to release data that would identify individual employers or specific workplaces, but it does report detailed information on the age composition of the workforce by industry and occupation. On average, more than 16 percent of employed Americans last year were between ages 55 and 64. Roughly 5 percent were at least 65 years old. Added together, about one-fifth of employed workers were at least 55 years old.
However, looking at occupational breakdowns reveals that many jobs with older-worker concentrations double and even triple this average. As the following table illustrates, some professions naturally retain older experts 鈥� clergymen, for example. In other cases, professions are dying and unable to provide attractive opportunities for newcomers. Based on these statistics, proofreaders, print binders, tool makers and postal service clerks are all professions parents are not likely to recommend to their children. Becoming a farmer or travel agent may also be off the table.
| 2012 Occupations with Oldest Jobholders | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Occupation | No. Jobs | Ages of Jobholders (%) | ||
| 听 | (000s) | 55-64 | 65+ | 55+ |
| Funeral service managers | 13 | 23.1% | 38.5% | 61.5% |
| Motor vehicle operators, all other | 63 | 15.9% | 39.7% | 55.6% |
| Legislators | 11 | 27.3% | 27.3% | 54.5% |
| Model makers and patternmakers, metal and plastic | 11 | 45.5% | 9.1% | 54.5% |
| Farmers, ranchers, and other agricultural managers | 944 | 26.4% | 26.7% | 53.1% |
| Judges, magistrates, and other judicial workers | 67 | 38.8% | 11.9% | 50.7% |
| Proofreaders and copy markers | 10 | 40.0% | 10.0% | 50.0% |
| Print binding and finishing workers | 22 | 36.4% | 13.6% | 50.0% |
| Tool and die makers | 56 | 39.3% | 8.9% | 48.2% |
| Postal service clerks | 148 | 43.9% | 3.4% | 47.3% |
| Clergy | 408 | 29.4% | 17.2% | 46.6% |
| Crossing guards | 61 | 23.0% | 23.0% | 45.9% |
| Bus drivers | 558 | 29.9% | 15.6% | 45.5% |
| Travel agents | 73 | 21.9% | 21.9% | 43.8% |
| Embalmers and funeral attendants | 16 | 6.3% | 37.5% | 43.8% |
| Sociologists | 7 | 28.6% | 14.3% | 42.9% |
| Religious workers, all other | 69 | 24.6% | 17.4% | 42.0% |
| Models, demonstrators, and product promoters | 65 | 27.7% | 13.8% | 41.5% |
| Construction and building inspectors | 118 | 33.9% | 7.6% | 41.5% |
| Judicial law clerks | 17 | 35.3% | 5.9% | 41.2% |
| Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics | ||||
Yet looking at professions with larger numbers of jobholders produces a list with smaller percentages of older people but larger numbers of these individuals overall. Here is a list of five occupations with both large numbers of jobholders and above-average concentrations of older employees.
| Large Occupations with Heavy Concentrations of Older Jobholders | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Occupation | 2012 Jobs (000s) | Aged 55+ (%) | Aged 55+ (000s) |
| Chief executives | 1,513 | 36.3 | 549,219 |
| Bookkeepers, accounting, and auditing clerks | 1,268 | 34.2 | 433,656 |
| Lawyers | 1,061 | 32.8 | 348,008 |
| Secretaries and administrative assistants | 2,904 | 30.9 | 897,336 |
| Postsecondary teachers | 1,350 | 30.4 | 410,040 |
| Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics | |||
Now, there are not exactly cries of anguish that there might be an aging crisis among chief executives. But occupations like the ones listed above are certainly facing an age tsunami, or will be when the slow pace of the economic recovery produces labor shortages.
Right now, there is more concern that unemployment rates remain too high this late into a recovery. Clearly, technology and global competition have played an important, if hard-to-define, role in limiting job growth. Government fiscal policy has also turned negative due to the sequester and other spending cuts.
But, slow or not, job growth is coming. And the nation鈥檚 workplaces are going to get grayer.
Copyright U.S. News & World Report, L.P. All rights reserved. U.S. News & World Report is a registered trademark of U.S. News & World Report, L.P. The display of this article does not constitute an endorsement by U.S. News & World Report of any product or service.鈥�
Author
Philip Moeller
Contributing Editor,听U.S. News & World Report
Editor,听American History of Business Journalism
Research Fellow,听Sloan Center on Aging & Work, Boston College
Twitter:听
LinkedIn:听